Agrifood Economics

Uneven transmission of international cereal price shocks to domestic markets

Domestic cereal prices during a time of rising international prices
Year: 2025
Author(s): Dawe, D., Morales Opazo, C. & Touret Hidalgo, J.P.

This study examines the evolution of domestic cereal prices in the low- and middle-income countries (LICs and MICs) from 2017 to mid-2023, covering the shocks of the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Using monthly retail price data adjusted by the consumer price index (CPI), we analyse cross-country and regional trends. Results indicate that Latin America and the Caribbean is more sensitive to international price fluctuations, whereas regions such as Asia – especially China and India – exhibit greater stability, largely due to effective agricultural policies and robust domestic production. These findings underscore the need for targeted agricultural and food policies to bolster food security and resilience in LICs and MICs, ultimately contributing to a better life.

Publication type: Technical report
ISBN: 978-92-5-139841-8
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